UNEP: The Current Truth…Subject To Change Without Notice

In George Orwell’s novel ‘Nineteen Eighty-Four’ Winston Smith’s job is to rewrite historical documents to match with the new “truth” as decided by the Party, INGSOC. Their slogan is: “Who controls the past controls the future: who controls the present controls the past.”

Likewise, UNEP is attempting rather clumsily to change its climate change predictions. For example, changing “50 million climate refugees by 2010” to “by 2020” when they failed to materialize. This is classic Orwellian manipulation.

There is a scene in the novel when a crowd appears excited by the announcement that daily chocolate rations are to be increased by up to 20 grams. “Very strange”, Winston thinks to himself, “wasn’t it just yesterday when the daily ration was 30 grams?”

UNEP may not be anywhere near as sinister as INGSOC, but its cynical, unethical behaviour must be exposed!

“It seems there’s a purge on at the UN to remove failed climate claims. Last week it was the 50 million climate refugees that never materialized and was covered up, this week it’s the poor of Africa they’ve “disappeared”. This one I stumbled upon quite by accident, doing some research for my previous story: World opinion on global warming: not so hot.”

‘The UN “disappears” yet another inconvenient climate claim, and once again, botches the cover up’
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/27/the-un-disappears-yet-another-inconvenient-claim-and-once-again-botches-the-cover-up/

’50 million ‘environmental refugees’ by 2020, experts say’
http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5jnW80NlFZ259UCgMAHSd3ekHutiQ?docId=CNG.aa651167cd0af745b3cb395cf1d402e3.c41

‘The UN “disappears” 50 million climate refugees, then botches the disappearing attempt’
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/15/the-un-disappears-50-million-climate-refugees-then-botches-the-disappearing-attempt/

28 April, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73781

The Arab Spring

What are the chances of genuine liberal democracies emerging from the revolutions in Tunisia, Egypt, Yemen and Libya and, perhaps, even Bahrain and Syria? In addition, can the protest movements in countries such as Morocco, Algeria, Jordan and Oman lead to significant liberal reforms?

Each country is a special case, of course, with its own variables. Therefore, these are difficult questions to answer without going into a lot of detail. However, I believe we can be the most optimistic about Tunisia, because it is the most European, while there are still a lot of threats to the others.

Historically speaking, the only arab/muslim countries that have been able to achieve some kind of modernity/liberalism are those that have been able to achieve some semblance of the separation of church and state, although it is usually far from perfect.

Indonesia is a good example. There is still way too much grass roots support for terrorism, but at least the government is secular (for now). Kosovo and Albania are perhaps the best examples.

“Kosovo’s brand of Islam may be the most liberal in the world. I saw no more women there wearing conservative Islamic clothing—one or two per day at most—than I’ve seen in Manhattan. There is no gender apartheid even in Kosovo’s villages. Alcohol flows freely in restaurants, cafés, and bars, where you’ll see as many young women in sexy outfits as you’d find in any Western European country. Aside from the minarets on the skyline, there is no visible evidence that Kosovo is a Muslim-majority country at all.”

‘The (Really) Moderate Muslims of Kosovo’
http://www.city-journal.org/2008/18_4_kosovo_muslims.html

“All this talk about whether democracy in Egypt will be a good thing or a bad thing just goes to show how misunderstood the word democracy is. Democracy refers not so much to elections but to liberalism in the general sense of the word.

If Egyptians elect the Muslim Brotherhood in a free and fair election, and the Muslim Brotherhood then rigs or even cancels every election that follows, Egypt will not be in any way shape or form a democracy. It will be a dictatorship that happened to have an election.

Mature liberal democracies have checks and balances, the separation of powers, equal rights for minorities, restrictions on the power and reach of the victors, and guarantees that those who lose will not be persecuted.

The Arab world doesn’t need a one-time plebiscite on whom the next tyrant is going to be. It needs liberalism. Egypt won’t get it from the Muslim Brotherhood, nor was Egypt ever going to get it from Hosni Mubarak.

I have no idea if Egypt will get it any time soon. Unfortunately, the profoundly illiberal Muslim Brotherhood is a powerful force to be reckoned with. Something like the Iranian Revolution in 1979 may well be replicated, but it isn’t the only possible outcome. Indonesia managed to overthrow Suharto without bringing a Southeast Asian Khomeini to power, and Albanians face no threat of an Islamist takeover even decades after removing Enver Hoxha.”

‘Egypt Needs Liberalism’
http://www.commentarymagazine.com/2011/02/03/egypt-needs-liberalism/

‘2010–2011 Middle East and North Africa protests’
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Arab_Spring

27 April, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73778

You Speak Heresy, Sir, Repent…Repent!

As usual, the clumsy self-censorship reveals all:

“Revkin of NYT takes back his statement that skeptics are more knowledgeable about the science.

From “the Hockey Schtick”

Tom Nelson featured a surprising quote from warmist/alarmist Andrew Revkin of the New York Times in the article Climate, Communication and the ‘Nerd Loop’:

“The last link is particularly important, given that it shows, among other things, that those dismissing human-driven global warming tend to have a more accurate picture of the basic science than those alarmed by it.”

The quote has since disappeared, now replaced by:

10:46 p.m. | Updated I’ve removed a line I’d tacked on here that gave too simplistic a summary of the Six Amercias [sic] study.

The Yale University Six Americas study in fact states in the Executive Summary on page 4:

“…this study also found that for some knowledge questions the Doubtful and Dissmissive [skeptics of man-made global warming] have as good an understanding, and in some cases better, than the Alarmed and Concerned.”

see the report for specific examples: http://www.environment.yale.edu/climate/publications/knowledge-of-climate-change-across-global-warmings-six-americas/

===============================================================

I’ll add that Mr. Revkin has always been fair with me, but surely he must have known that this would be noticed, particularly when it paints skeptics in a positive light?

There’s an old Chinese proverb:

“Do not remove a fly from your friend’s forehead with a hatchet.”

I think it applies equally well to removing things from websites. Nobody really noticed the “fly” i.e. the sentence on Dot Earth until we were presented with a gaping hole of where it used to be. – Anthony”

‘Another inconvenient web posting “disappeared” ‘
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/04/18/another-inconvenient-web-posting-disappeared/

20 April, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73757

More Evidence That Oceans And Terrestrial Ecosystems Absorb The Excess CO2

A US government team of scientists has discovered that the break up and melting of Antarctic shelf (fresh water) ice in the sea is causing CO2 to be removed from the atmosphere much faster than predicted. This is attributed to the growth of phytoplankton, a finding which corroborates an earlier report that polar carbon dioxide sinks have increased in recent years because of the growth of marine bryozoa (aquatic invertebrate animals), which are taking more excess CO2 out of circulation.

Other confirmatory data are the readings of the SeaWiFS instrument aboard the Seastar satellite, which has collected ocean data since 1997. Its instrument, which monitors the colour of reflected light to give scientists an idea of how well plants are photosynthesizing, indicates that the biosphere is booming at the moment.

“The US National Science Foundation (NSF) which funded the iceberg study, describes the results as having “global implications for climate research”.

“These new findings… confirm that icebergs contribute yet another, previously unsuspected, dimension of physical and biological complexity to polar ecosystems,” says Roberta Marinelli, director of the NSF’s Antarctic Organisms and Ecosystems Program.

A team of NSF-funded scientists examined the effects on an area of the Weddell Sea of a large (20 mile long) berg moving through, melting as it went and diluting the salty sea water – also adding key nutrients carried from the land. They found that after the iceberg had passed, levels of CO2 had plunged and much more chlorophyll was present. Chlorophyll is the substance in green plants which lets them suck in nasty CO2 and emit precious life-giving oxygen: in the Weddell Sea it was present in phytoplankton, tiny seagoing plantoids which are thought to account for half the carbon removed from the atmosphere globally.”

‘Antarctic ice breakup makes ocean absorb more CO2’
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/29/iceberg_phytoplankton_boost/

‘Antarctic Icebergs Play a Previously Unknown Role in Global Carbon Cycle, Climate’
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=119058&org=NSF&from=news

‘Carbon sink at South Pole has grown recently, historical collections reveal’
http://www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2011-02/cp-csa021611.php

‘The Earth’s biosphere is booming, data suggests that CO2 is the cause, part 2’
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/03/24/the-earths-biosphere-is-booming-data-suggests-that-co2-is-the-cause-part-2/

31 March, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73688

A Vision Of A Democratic Libya

The interim national council hereby presents its vision for rebuilding the democratic state of Libya. This vision responds to the needs and aspirations of our people, while incorporating the historical changes brought about by the 17 February revolution.

We have learnt from the struggles of our past during the dark days of dictatorship that there is no alternative to building a free and democratic society and ensuring the supremacy of international humanitarian law and human rights declarations. This can only be achieved through dialogue, tolerance, co-operation, national cohesiveness and the active participation of all citizens. As we are familiar with being ruled by the authoritarian dictatorship of one man, the political authority that we seek must represent the free will of the people, without exclusion or suppression of any voice.

The lessons of our past will outline our social contract through the need to respect the interests of all groups and classes that comprise the fabric of our society and not compromise the interests of one at the expense of the other. It is this social contract that must lead us to a civil society that recognises intellectual and political pluralism and allows for the peaceful transfer of power through legal institutions and ballot boxes; in accordance with a national constitution crafted by the people and endorsed in a referendum.

To that end, we will outline our aspirations for a modern, free and united state, following the defeat of the illegal Gaddafi regime. The interim national council will be guided by the following in our continuing march to freedom, through espousing the principles of political democracy. We recognise without reservation our obligation to:

1. Draft a national constitution that clearly defines its nature, essence and purpose and establishes legal, political, civil, legislative, executive and judicial institutions. The constitution will also clarify the rights and obligations of citizens in a transparent manner, thus separating and balancing the three branches of legislative, executive and judicial powers.

2. Form political organisations and civil institutions including the formation of political parties, popular organisations, unions, societies and other civil and peaceful associations.

3. Maintain a constitutional civil and free state by upholding intellectual and political pluralism and the peaceful transfer of power, opening the way for genuine political participation, without discrimination.

4. Guarantee every Libyan citizen, of statutory age, the right to vote in free and fair parliamentary and presidential elections, as well as the right to run for office.

5. Guarantee and respect the freedom of expression through media, peaceful protests, demonstrations and sit-ins and other means of communication, in accordance with the constitution and its laws in a way that protects public security and social peace.

6. A state that draws strength from our strong religious beliefs in peace, truth, justice and equality.

7. Political democracy and the values of social justice, which include:

a. The nation’s economy to be used for the benefit of the Libyan people by creating effective economic institutions in order to eradicate poverty and unemployment – working towards a healthy society, a green environment and a prosperous economy.

b. The development of genuine economic partnerships between a strong and productive public sector, a free private sector and a supportive and effective civil society, which overstands corruption and waste.

c. Support the use of science and technology for the betterment of society, through investments in education, research and development, thus enabling the encouragement of an innovative culture and enhancing the spirit of creativity. Focus on emphasising individual rights in a way that guarantees social freedoms that were denied to the Libyan people during the rule of dictatorship. In addition to building efficient public and private institutions and funds for social care, integration and solidarity, the state will guarantee the rights and empowerment of women in all legal, political, economic and cultural spheres.

d. A constitutional civil state which respects the sanctity of religious doctrine and condemns intolerance, extremism and violence that are manufactured by certain political, social or economic interests. The state to which we aspire will denounce violence, terrorism, intolerance and cultural isolation; while respecting human rights, rules and principles of citizenship and the rights of minorities and those most vulnerable. Every individual will enjoy the full rights of citizenship, regardless of colour, gender, ethnicity or social status.

8. Build a democratic Libya whose international and regional relationships will be based upon:

a. The embodiment of democratic values and institutions which respects its neighbours, builds partnerships and recognises the independence and sovereignty of other nations. The state will also seek to enhance regional integration and international co-operation through its participation with members of the international community in achieving international peace and security.

b. A state which will uphold the values of international justice, citizenship, the respect of international humanitarian law and human rights declarations, as well as condemning authoritarian and despotic regimes. The interests and rights of foreign nationals and companies will be protected. Immigration, residency and citizenship will be managed by government institutions, respecting the principles and rights of political asylum and public liberties.

c. A state which will join the international community in rejecting and denouncing racism, discrimination and terrorism while strongly supporting peace, democracy and freedom.

© 2011 The Interim Transitional National Council / The Libyan Republic.

http://ntclibya.org/english/libya/

30 March, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73679

The Lesson Of Egypt

Obama, the so-called “man of the historical moment”, has allowed himself to be swept along by history, rather than become a shaper of it. His attempt to catch the zeitgeist of the Middle Eastern revolutions, in Tunisia and Egypt, and his late embrace of the Iranian peoples’ aspirations makes him more of a reactionary president than a visionary one.

“Barack Obama has dismissed claims about mixed messages from the White House during Egypt’s revolution, insisting his administration will be remembered for being on the right side of history “at every juncture”.

The US President also yesterday spoke out against Iran’s government for suppressing protests in solidarity with Egyptians.

He called on governments to respond to a “hunger for change” among their people in a way that did not lead to violence. “You can’t maintain power through coercion,” Mr Obama said.

The President rejected suggestions that his administration had been a step behind events in Egypt.

“I think history will end up recording that at every juncture in the situation in Egypt that we were on the right side of history,” Mr Obama said.”

‘Washington ‘on the right side of history’: Barack Obama’
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/washington-on-the-right-side-of-history-barack-obama/story-e6frg6so-1226007182685

4th of November, 2009 protests in Tehran:

“Obama, you’re either with the Iranian regime or you’re against the Iranian people

Obama, Obama, ya ba oona, ya ba ma
(Obama, Obama, you’re either with them or with us)”

‘obama ya ba oona ya ba ma – 13 aban iran – 4 nov’
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dAxF28bTIFc&feature=player_embedded

” “Obama, Obama, ya ba oona, ya ba ma,” chanted the brave and bruised youths in the streets of Tehran last week. “You’re either with them or with us.” There is no hint that the President was listening.”

‘Berlin anniversary too few remember’
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/berlin-anniversary-too-few-remember/story-e6frg6zo-1225795558989

‘Reagan – Tear Down This Wall’
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WjWDrTXMgF8

Krauthammer: “The regime is weakening. This is a hinge in history. Everything in the region would change if the regime is changed. Obama ought to be strong out there in saying it’s an illegitimate government; we stand shoulder to shoulder with the people in the street. When he talks about diplomacy he should be urging our Western allies that have relations to cut them off. He ought to be going into the UN every forum denouncing it. This is a moment in history, and he’s missing it.“

‘Video: Krauthammer Not Impressed With Obama’s Statement On Iran’
http://nicedeb.wordpress.com/2009/12/29/video-krauthammer-not-impressed-with-obamas-statement-on-iran/

18 February, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73442

No Evidence For Intensifying Weather Trend

Click to enlarge

There has been no increase in global tropical storms and hurricanes despite rising CO2 emissions over the last 40 years. According to the Bureau of Meteorology, tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region has actually decreased in recent decades, and there has been no upward trend in precipitation events (floods plus droughts) during the 20th century. Australia’s allegedly “extreme weather” is not so extreme by historical standards after all.

“Some climate alarmists would have us believe that these storms are yet another baleful consequence of man-made CO2 emissions. In addition to the latest weather events, they also point to recent cyclones in Burma, last winter’s fatal chills in Nepal and Bangladesh, December’s blizzards in Britain, and every other drought, typhoon and unseasonable heat wave around the world.

But is it true? To answer that question, you need to understand whether recent weather trends are extreme by historical standards. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project is the latest attempt to find out, using super-computers to generate a dataset of global atmospheric circulation from 1871 to the present.

As it happens, the project’s initial findings, published last month, show no evidence of an intensifying weather trend. “In the climate models, the extremes get more extreme as we move into a doubled CO2 world in 100 years,” atmospheric scientist Gilbert Compo, one of the researchers on the project, tells me from his office at the University of Colorado, Boulder. “So we were surprised that none of the three major indices of climate variability that we used show a trend of increased circulation going back to 1871.”

In other words, researchers have yet to find evidence of more-extreme weather patterns over the period, contrary to what the models predict. “There’s no data-driven answer yet to the question of how human activity has affected extreme weather,” adds Roger Pielke Jr., another University of Colorado climate researcher.”

‘The Weather Isn’t Getting Weirder’
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704422204576130300992126630.html

‘How to insure maximum panic at the least cost is generated from natural disasters’
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/opinion/how-to-insure-maximum-panic-at-the-least-cost-is-generated-from-natural-disasters/story-fn72xczz-1226003966477

‘Questions real journalists ought to be asking about Yasi’
http://joannenova.com.au/2011/02/questions-real-journalists-ought-to-be-asking-about-yasi/

‘Tropical Cyclone Trends’
http://www.bom.gov.au/cyclone/climatology/trends.shtml

‘Frequency Of Tropical Cyclones In The Australian Region’
http://www.bom.gov.au/info/climate/change/gallery/49.shtml

11 February, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73381

New Study Of Himalayan Glaciers

The idea that the Himalayan glaciers have been melting at an unprecedented rate because of man-made global warming is unsupportable. This new study finds that many Himalayan glaciers are stable or even growing.

Essentially, it provides a better understanding of some of the factors influencing glacier melting. Global warming proponents have the tendency to attribute retreating glaciers to rising temperatures alone. But, as others have noted, they ignore soot, precipitation, debris etc.

“A new study published in the scientific journal Nature Geoscience has concluded that the claimed melting of the Himalayan glaciers, trumpeted by the United Nations as “proof” for catastrophic global warming, does not match the evidence. Instead, the researchers found that many glaciers in the Himalayas are expanding or stable.

Noting that their study corrects “erroneous statements in the fourth report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,” the authors say that their results show “that there is no uniform response of Himalayan glaciers to climate change.” ”

‘Blow to ‘global warming’ – Study: many Himalayan glaciers are growing or stable’
http://www.lifesitenews.com/news/another-blow-to-global-warming-many-himalayan-glaciers-are-growing-or-stabl

‘Spatially variable response of Himalayan glaciers to climate change affected by debris cover’
http://www.nature.com/ngeo/journal/vaop/ncurrent/full/ngeo1068.html

‘IPCC Titanic’
http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=70440

9 February, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73366

MetOffGate

The UK’s Met Office misled the public when it said it had scrapped its seasonal forecast. What’s more, I find it hard to believe that it secretly forecast extreme cold given to the UK government. Its credibility has been well and truly shot to pieces.

“The Met Office logic is that although it quacks like a duck and walks like a duck it is actually a horse. This explains the weak attempt to disown the seasonal temperature probability map that the department published in October. But Hirst’s actions now reveal the map is a forecast after all, in everything but name. The details from the Minutes are shown in the blue highlighted section in the screenshot below (click to enlarge).”

Click to enlarge

‘Met Office steps in it again’
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/02/01/met-office-steps-in-it-again/

‘Official Extract Met Office Board 26th Jan 2010’
http://autonomousmind.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/mo_minutes_extract1.jpg

“London, 6 January [2011]: The Global Warming Policy Foundation has called on the House of Commons Transport Select Committee to set up a parliamentary inquiry into the winter advice the Government received by the Met Office and the renewed failure of both the Government and local authorities to prepare the UK transport system for the third severe winter in a row.”

‘MetOffGate – the questions begin’
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/01/06/metoffgate-the-questions-begin/

“Airports, energy providers, local authorities and health trusts were caught short by record cold weather extremes this year, for the third winter running – raising questions about the preparedness of the national infrastructure, and the quality of the meteorological advice these agencies receive. And it’s not an academic dispute: cold weather kills thousands of people each year, with UK citizens suffering one of the worst winter “excess” mortality rates in Europe. According to figures published by Office for National Statistics, there were 25,400 additional deaths in 2009/10 than in a comparable non-winter period.”

‘Death, grit and climate: Met Office drama unfolds’
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/01/31/met_office_foia/

‘Winter Mortality – Excess winter deaths fall’
http://www.statistics.gov.uk/cci/nugget.asp?id=574

2 February, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73320

BBC Propaganda On Climate Change

It is generally well known that the BBC has lost a lot of credibility in the world. Therefore, if they are determined to roll down this road to stupidity, taking as many people with them as possible, then the best thing to do is to just let them get on with it. It will all come out in the end, of course, as the Greens lose credibility and the economics bite.

“The formula the BBC uses in its forlorn attempts to counterattack has been familiar ever since its 2008 series Climate Wars. First, a presenter with some scientific credentials comes on, apparently to look impartially at the evidence. Supporters of the cause are allowed to put their case without challenge. Hours of film of climate-change “deniers” are cherrypicked for soundbites that can be shown, out of context, to make them look ridiculous. The presenter can then conclude that the “deniers” are a tiny handful of eccentrics standing out against an overwhelming scientific “consensus”.”

‘How BBC warmists abuse the science’
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/comment/columnists/christopherbooker/8290469/How-BBC-warmists-abuse-the-science.html

The BBC appears to be breaking its own new editorial guidelines:

“But the BBC’s new editorial guidelines, published yesterday after an extensive consultation that considered over 1,600 submissions by members of the public, say expressly for the first time that scientific issues fall within the corporation’s obligation to be impartial. “The BBC must be inclusive, consider the broad perspective, and ensure that the existence of a range of views is appropriately reflected,” said BBC trustee Alison Hastings. “In addition the new guideline extends the definition of ‘controversial’ subjects beyond those of public policy and political or industrial controversy to include controversy within religion, science, finance, culture, ethics and other matters.” ”

‘BBC told to ensure balance on climate change’
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/culture/tvandradio/bbc/8060211/BBC-told-to-ensure-balance-on-climate-change.html

‘BBC Under Scrutiny’
https://simonjmeath.wordpress.com/2011/04/30/bbc-under-scrutiny/

30 January, 2011

http://apps.facebook.com/journaling/view.php?item=73300