Deliberately Deceptive Poll On Climate Change
May 8, 2011 Leave a comment
Most AGW skeptics accept we have some effect on climate, yet consider it to be local (e.g. Urban Heat Island Effect), not global, and certainly not catastrophic. Therefore, most skeptics find themselves in the 58% “partly caused by human activity” category.
If you cannot distinguish between the skeptics who believe it is “partly caused by human activity” (but not catastrophic), from those who believe it is partly caused by us (and catastrophic) then the survey is deliberately deceptive.
As a quantitative survey, rather than a qualitative one (which allows participants to say whatever they want), this is not a true reflection of what people think.
Here is the Newspoll question (PDF here):
DO YOU PERSONALLY BELIEVE THAT CLIMATE CHANGE IS…?*
• entirely caused by human activity: 14%
• partly caused by human activity: 58%
• TOTAL CAUSED BY HUMAN ACTIVITY: 72%
“Gillard press conference yesterday (5/5/11):
What today’s poll shows, and I don’t normally comment on polls but can I say this, if you look at today’s poll it confirms very clearly that Australians believe that climate change is real. That’s a pretty big contrast with Mr Abbott who has said in the past that climate change is absolute crap. So, Australians believe climate change is real.”
‘Farewell, old chum. Fairfax and the ABC work their way through the five stages of grief’
“Now even I, as a writer of a climate sceptic blog, would have to be included in that 72% (actually the 58%), because I consider that man has a partial effect on the climate, like virtually everything else on the planet: plants and animals and buildings and cities etc etc. We can live with a modest 1 degree of warming – there may even be benefits from that warming, and from the increased CO2 concentration in the atmosphere.
So the question that should have been asked is whether people believe that the effect that man has on climate is dangerous and requires action to reverse that effect. In other words, that the modest warming from increased CO2 is amplified by positive feedbacks (as the models would have you believe) into something that is dangerous.”
‘Newspoll’s questions mislead the media’