Climategate 2.0

Here we go again! The emails appear genuine but have to be verified.

“Early this morning, history repeated itself. FOIA.org has produced an enormous zip file of 5,000 additional emails similar to those released two years ago in November 2009 and coined Climategate. There are almost 1/4 million additional emails locked behind a password, which the organization does not plan on releasing at this time.”

Climategate 2.0 – They’re real and they’re spectacular!
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/11/22/climategate-2-0/

“It happened again. I woke up to find a link from FOIA.org on a thread. Thousands of emails unlocked with 220,000 more hidden behind a password. Despite the smaller size of the Air Vent due to my lack of time, there were twenty five downloads before I saw it once. As before, there are some very nice quotes and clarifications from the consensus. Below is a guest post in the form of a readme file from the FOIA.org group. – Jeff

/// FOIA 2011 — Background and Context ///

“Over 2.5 billion people live on less than $2 a day.”

“Every day nearly 16.000 children die from hunger and related causes.”

“One dollar can save a life” — the opposite must also be true.

“Poverty is a death sentence.”

“Nations must invest $37 trillion in energy technologies by 2030 to stabilize
greenhouse gas emissions at sustainable levels.”

Today’s decisions should be based on all the information we can get, not on
hiding the decline.

This archive contains some 5.000 emails picked from keyword searches. A few
remarks and redactions are marked with triple brackets.

The rest, some 220.000, are encrypted for various reasons. We are not planning
to publicly release the passphrase.

We could not read every one, but tried to cover the most relevant topics such as…”

Climategate 2.0
http://noconsensus.wordpress.com/2011/11/22/climategate-2-0/

UPDATE1: November 23, 2011 (11:30 AM GMT) Searchable database here.

UPDATE2: November 26, 2011 (12:30 PM GMT) Editorial from The Australian.

“The second round of so-called Climategate email revelations has been released for maximum political effect, on the eve of the UN’s Durban climate change conference. The timing indicates that those promoting climate scepticism have an eye for public relations and political management. But the emails themselves reveal, most clearly, the extent to which climate change scientists have been involved in the same game of spinning for their cause of global warming, and working towards greatest political impact.

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The IPCC’s “Extreme Weather” Report

According to its latest report, the IPCC has “low confidence” that tropical cyclones have become more frequent (based on real world observations). Also, it has “limited to medium evidence available” (insufficient evidence) to determine whether or not climatic factors have changed the frequency of floods.

For example, “Observed: Low confidence at global scale regarding (climate-driven) observed changes in the magnitude and frequency of floods” because of “limited evidence”, but “Projected: Likely increase in heavy precipitation indicators in East Africa.” (p.27)

So, despite “low confidence” on whether the frequency of floods has risen or fallen on a global scale, it projects that these will increase in some areas in the distant future (after 20-30+ years) based on computer models! (p.12)

Notwithstanding Richard Black and others writing a “disclaimer”—”It’s also explicit in laying out that the rise in impacts we’ve seen from extreme weather events cannot be laid at the door of greenhouse gas emissions”, an affirmative line is still being spun by most of the media as: IPCC Confirms Link Between Extreme Weather Events and Climate Change.

SustainableBusiness.com: “A definitive report from the the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) released today says it now certain that human emissions of greenhouse gases and warming aerosols like black carbon are increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather by putting more heat energy into the climate system.”

The report found nothing of the sort! Did these hacks even bother to read it?

Below is a review of the first, carefully leaked draft, from November 2, 2011. Was it radically different from the later draft, or as above, was it distorted by the media?

“A DRAFT UN report three years in the making finds that man-made climate change has boosted the frequency or intensity of heatwaves, wildfires, floods and cyclones and that such disasters are likely to increase in future.

The draft being discussed by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change says the severity of the impacts vary, and some regions are more vulnerable.

Agence France-Presse has obtained a copy of the draft report’s 20-page summary for policymakers, which is subject to revision by governments before release on November 18.”

Climate change ‘will boost disasters’: UN report
http://www.theaustralian.com.au/news/world/climate-change-will-boost-disasters-un-report/story-e6frg6so-1226183065475

BBC’s Environment correspondent Richard Black: 

“The draft, which has found its way into my possession, contains a lot more unknowns than knowns.

On the one hand, it says it is “very likely” that the incidence of cold days and nights has gone down and the incidence of warm days and nights has risen globally.

And the human and financial toll of extreme weather events has risen.

But when you get down to specifics, the academic consensus is far less certain.

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